Category: Fantasy

Not So Fast! – Houston Edition

So is your draft day around the corner? You’ve got your sleepers, busts, and sure-things lined up and ready to go? NOT SO FAST.  Before you pull the trigger and draft these players, take a step back and think about their values.

Jeremy Lin

Jeremy Lin is stepping into the big big shoes of his predecessor, Yao Ming. As the new face of the Houston Rockets franchise there is a ton of pressure on the Harvard grad to live up to his massive back-loaded contract. So what can we expect from Lin now that he isn’t playing with the likes of Carmelo Anthony and Amare Stoudemire?

A fair amount actually. Here is a quick breakdown of what to expect from Lin.

  • He’s going to have a ton of turnovers

Lin was never good at taking care of hte ball. Even during the high point of Linsanity he still averaged more than 3 turnovers a game. Let’s say he plays 3 times a week, that’s at least 10 turnovers from a single player every week. Now that teams know what he is capable of, point guards are going to be coming after Lin with a vengeance. Nobody wants to fall to the newest hot point guard in the league.

  • Points and assists and steals and points and assists and steals

Expect him to be the leading scorer with the Houston Rockets. The Rockets completely revamped their roster this year and there are only 4 players that have more than 5 years of NBA experience. WIth 4 new rookies expect Kevin McHale to be constantly tinkering with his lineups. Jeremy Lin, Kevin Martin, and Omer Asik are probably slated for consistent minutes but the substitutions as as well as the other starters are completely in the air. Kevin Martin can score in bunches but he’s probably on his way out of the rebuilding Houston because of his contract.

Lin is great on defence so you can rely on him as a solid source of steals but his percentages will be mediocre at best .

  • He couldn’t do it for half a shortened season, he can’t do it for a full season

If you want a solid, consistent, and healthy option, you should definitely look somewhere else. Lin is good in short bursts and will definitely have the occasional monster game, but don’t expect 20/10 on a nightly basis.

First on Deck- Kevin Martin

Kevin Martin is due to make 12.5 million dollars this year. Kevin Martin is also on a contract year, Kevin Martin is going to be huge this year. Regardless of whether he finishes the season with the Rockets, Martin is going to play his ass off to get a big paycheque next season. He has always been a great shooter with great percentages. His numbers will be very similar to that of Marcus Thornton. Plenty of 3’s, points, high percentages, and nothing else. However he has looked amazing in preseason and can always fill the score sheet.

What’s Left?

Everyone thought that Omer Asik was wildly overpaid this season. WIth the exact same contract as Lin (30 million over three years), people thought that this contract was ridiculous for someone who averaged 4 rebounds, 3 points, and shot less than 50% from the free throw line. However he is a hustler, and hustlers who are 7 feet tall tend to grab a couple rebounds. Although his field goal percentage hasn’t been amazing in the preseason expect his points to pick up with more playing time. Throughout the pre-season he has averaged 8 points, 11 rebounds, 75% free-throw, and 47% field goal. All while also getting just under a steal and a block per game.

Asik is definitely a solid late-round draft pick, but I wouldn’t be surprised if he went earlier than that.

Not So Fast! -Minnesota Edition

So is your draft day around the corner? You’ve got your sleepers, busts, and sure-things lined up and ready to go? NOT SO FAST.  Before you pull the trigger and draft these players, take a step back and think about their values.

The ball! It came and it sorta broke my hand..

Kevin Love

The big man in the middle was projected to go top-5 in pretty much every league out there. But in some kind of freak accident he broke his hand just weeks before the regular season was slated to start. Love was a fantasy stud last year until he completely dropped the ball and sat out the end of the regular season. A regular 20/12 guy with 3’s to boot.

Now he is slated to miss 6-8 weeks for his hand to fully recover which means that most fantasy owners won’t be getting anything out of him till mid-December to early January. If you think he still warrants a first-round pick… then you better rethink your draft strategy buddy. Although he will still come back and produce like he usually does it isn’t worth crippling your team for almost half of the regular fantasy season.

First on Deck: Derrick Williams

Coach told me to put the ball in the hoop!

Williams will most likely shoulder the load during Love’s absence for the first two months of the season. HE has shown flashes of offensive talent and expect him to live up to being the 2nd pick of the 2011-2012 NBA Draft. With the ability to catch and shoot the 3-pointer as well as create his own shot he is going to be a solid fantasy option going forward. There is a void in Minnesota right now and without their two franchise players  someone will need to step up in order to keep the Wolves in play-off contention. Hopefully Williams will be able to pick it up on offense and grab a solid number of rebounds.

What’s Left?

Let’s not forget that the Timberwolves have also signed Andrei Kirilenko and Brandon Roy during the off-season. Roy looks to be a great pick-up and to be honest it wouldn’t be that suprising if he came back and performed like he did in his rookie year, he seems healthy in his pre-season games. Without Love and Rubio to create on the offensive end, Roy will be called upon to distribute and score every night.

In Russia, balls baskets you!

Kirilenko was a statiscal beast in Utah until Deron Williams showed up. He is the only player to have ever recorded a 5×5 (5 points, 5 rebounds, 5 assists, 5 steals, 5 blocks) since 2006. After a deflating career with the Utah Jazz, AK-47 has looked energized in his preseason games and also looked great in the 2012 London Olympics (playing for Russia). He isn’t going to be the AK of old but he’ll definitely be a multi-stat contributor on a nightly basis

Fantasy Basketball for Dummies: 17-20

Picks 1 through 3 can be found here, and 4-8 can be found here, 9-12 can be found here, 13-16 can be found here.

#17- Danny Granger

41.6% FG, 87.3% FG,  2.0 3PG, 5.0 RPG, 1.8 APG, 2.8 TO, 1.0 SPG, 0.7 BPG, 18.8 PPG

Another year and another poor year for Danny Granger. Since his stellar year in 08/09, Granger’s overall game has further fallen. Long been heralded as a top 10 for his all-around game, it’s sad to see this versatile player become worse and worse. Continue reading

Fantasy Season in a Nutshell: Who made it through the season?

This article will talk about the lucky few that made it through the draft and all the way to the end of my season. You can view my entire team roster from start to finish here

I like to think that I built my team around a solid core. I felt that I had a sizeable advantage in assists, rebounds, three’s, and points. I usually find that field goal percentages and free throw percentages can go either way, so I try to not focus too heavily on that aspect. My team wasn’t amazing in the field-goal percentage department but it also didn’t have anyone to sink my free throw percentages.

Of the 13 I drafted, 5 still remained in my final team. Those were:

Rudy Gay

Rudy Gay was absolutely essential to my team, his ability to do everything really kept my core from falling apart. He came back from a shoulder injury last season to be the primary scorer for the Memphis Grizzlies, and even meshed well with the return of Zach Randolph.  Although I was a little disappointed with his drop in free-throw and field goal percentages this season, his ability to score, shoot the three ball, rebound, and steal made him a fantastic compliment with my next player.

Jeff Teague

Jeff Teague was my primary source of steals throughout the entire season. Although for a point guard he doesn’t rack up that many assists he does play very consistently. Considering it’s only his second year playing for a slow offense like Atlanta it was nice to see him almost average a three a game and just below 2 steals a game. He was also able to throw in the occasional block which was very surprising to me. Throughout the season I found that I was able to beat many teams because of my team’s underrated ability to block. With Gay and Teague throwing in blocks here and there throughout the weeks, the addition of my next player rounded out my universal team.

Kris Humphries

I certainly don’t hate you because you were a massive rebounder. Even though your scoring average doesn’t suggest it you came through with a massive game whenever I needed it. It’s amazing how bad the New Jersey Nets were with only Deron Williams as the reliable scorer. Thankfully Humphries stepped into the role with a polished offensive game, and massive put-back dunks. Toss in those points and Kris Humphries should go, latest, in the 6th round.

Like I said my team didn’t stand out in the blocks category but it did manage to beat those that were merely “average” at it. My next player almost never got a block a game though.

Jose Calderon

He led the league in assist to turnover ratio for much of the early season, and boy was he a spark plug to my team. He doesn’t hurt your team in any categories and you almost find yourself wishing that he would shoot more. On some nights he would go off for 20+ points with a bunch of three’s and still get double digit rebounds. Those were the nights that I loved the Spaniard. I wish the Raptors would trade him to a team that truly had offensive weapons and his skills weren’t going to waste with this constantly rebuilding team. My next player did the smart thing and looked for a smarter team.

Chris Bosh

I should not have taken you in the 4th round. Yeah you quietly put together a solid season behind Dwyane Wade and Lebron James but you were absolutely in March. March is when I needed you and you couldn’t get a single game with double digit rebounds.  You scored in buckets but what I really need was consistency, without consistency I couldn’t play you when you’re going through a day-to-day injury. Without consistency, I just didn’t really feel proud of having you on my team, and without consistency I couldn’t get the same trade value for you because the other managers constantly say “well.. he had some bad games”

But you were still good. That’s how you made it this far.

Fantasy Basketball for Dummies: 13-16

Picks 1 through 3 can be found here, and 4-8 can be found here, 9-12 can be found here

#13- Dirk Nowitzki

45.7% FG, 87.8% FT, 1.3 3PG, 6.8 RPG, 2.2 APG, 1.9 TO, 0.7 SPG, 0.5 BPG, 21.7 PPG

This season Nowitzki saw his numbers drop even more from last season. Always heralded for having a great all-around game, I had to take Nowitzki out my top ten this season because of his continually diminishing minutes. Drop-offs in FG% this season have shown how stagnant the Mavericks offense had become and that Nowtizki often had to force up shots to keep his team in the game.

Without a full steal or block per game it’s a good thing Nowitzki shot the three-ball well and still rebounded well. His free throw shooting is still one of huge strengths and should be something that you take advantage of when building your team. Nowitzki still keeps his turnovers low and throws in a couple of assists too. Continue reading

Fantasy Basketball for Dummies: Picks 9-12

Picks 1 through 3 can be found here, and 4-8 can be found here

#9- Deron Williams

40.7% FG, 84.3% FT, 2.1 3PG, 3.3 RPG, 8.8 APG, 4.0 TO,1.2 SPG, 0.4 BPG, 21.0 PPG

Deron Williams kills you in the stats he isn’t good at and he kills it in the stats he is good at. Since his days in Utah his field goal percentages have been absolutely terrible. Last season with New Jersey he averaged 34.9% shooting over twelve games. This year he averaged 40.7% over 55 games. An incomplete season and awful shooting on 17.5 attempts. He led the league in turnovers and to cap it all off he played a season low minutes since his rookie year.

Risky right? Continue reading

Yellow Mamba’s Fantasy Season in a Nutshell: Quarterfinal Exit

This year I was in the same 12 team, H2H 10 category fantasy league as Durantin’ and Yung Money (Read about their seasons here and here). Unfortunately, I wasn’t as successful as them and finished 5th in the regular season and losing in an epic quarterfinal by 1 block that was awarded after a stat correction. At least I went down fighting.

Given the 6th overall pick, I used it to take Dwyane Wade in the first round followed by 2 big men in Al Horford and Serge Ibaka. I filled the rest of my lineup with a mix of guards and forwards. Peak my full draft day roster down below.

Continue reading

Yung Money’s Fantasy Season in a Nutshell: Draft Day to Runner-Up

In this year’s fantasy league I was one of 12 owners in a H2H 10 category league. Full of surprises this year from the get-go. I was originally projected for the 5th overall pick which was Derrick Rose. However, one of the bush league rookie fantasy team owners decided to take D-Rose for his first overall pick. (He was supposed to take CP3 with his 3rd overall pick and 4th was supposed to get K Love). As luck would have it, I ended up with Kevin Love who I loved building around as you’ll see from who I drafted.

You can find Durantin’s “Fantasy Season in a Nutshell”, here.

Continue reading

Fantasy Season in a Nutshell: Draft Day to Champion

This season I played in a 12 man, H2H, 10 category league. We had two rookie managers and although the trading was a bit slower than I would’ve liked it was still an enjoyable experience.

The segment,“Fantasy Season in a Nutshell”, will talk about the team I drafted and the team I ended up with. Who I dropped, who I picked up, and who I traded to win the prize money. Yung Money also made the finals in my league, he will be chronicling his strategy too, you can find it here.

I had the fortune of receiving the 10th pick in my league and this is who I drafted in descending order. Continue reading

Fantasy Basketball for Dummies: Picks 4-8

Picks 1 through 3 can be found here

#4-Kevin Love

44.8 %FG, 82.4% FT, 1.9 3PG, 13.3 RPG, 2.0 APG, 2.3 TO, 0.9 SPG. 0.5 BPG, 26 PPG

This season, Kevin Love truly propelled himself onto the fantasy charts. It’s rare that you see a power-forward who can rebound as well as Dennis Rodman and shoot the three ball as well as Ray Allen. His high free throw numbers are a huge plus considering he’s a center. However his supporting stats are somewhat lacklustre. Not even a steal or block per game means that it will be difficult to build the supporting stats.

Continue reading