Tagged: Houston Rockets

Not So Fast! – Houston Edition

So is your draft day around the corner? You’ve got your sleepers, busts, and sure-things lined up and ready to go? NOT SO FAST.  Before you pull the trigger and draft these players, take a step back and think about their values.

Jeremy Lin

Jeremy Lin is stepping into the big big shoes of his predecessor, Yao Ming. As the new face of the Houston Rockets franchise there is a ton of pressure on the Harvard grad to live up to his massive back-loaded contract. So what can we expect from Lin now that he isn’t playing with the likes of Carmelo Anthony and Amare Stoudemire?

A fair amount actually. Here is a quick breakdown of what to expect from Lin.

  • He’s going to have a ton of turnovers

Lin was never good at taking care of hte ball. Even during the high point of Linsanity he still averaged more than 3 turnovers a game. Let’s say he plays 3 times a week, that’s at least 10 turnovers from a single player every week. Now that teams know what he is capable of, point guards are going to be coming after Lin with a vengeance. Nobody wants to fall to the newest hot point guard in the league.

  • Points and assists and steals and points and assists and steals

Expect him to be the leading scorer with the Houston Rockets. The Rockets completely revamped their roster this year and there are only 4 players that have more than 5 years of NBA experience. WIth 4 new rookies expect Kevin McHale to be constantly tinkering with his lineups. Jeremy Lin, Kevin Martin, and Omer Asik are probably slated for consistent minutes but the substitutions as as well as the other starters are completely in the air. Kevin Martin can score in bunches but he’s probably on his way out of the rebuilding Houston because of his contract.

Lin is great on defence so you can rely on him as a solid source of steals but his percentages will be mediocre at best .

  • He couldn’t do it for half a shortened season, he can’t do it for a full season

If you want a solid, consistent, and healthy option, you should definitely look somewhere else. Lin is good in short bursts and will definitely have the occasional monster game, but don’t expect 20/10 on a nightly basis.

First on Deck- Kevin Martin

Kevin Martin is due to make 12.5 million dollars this year. Kevin Martin is also on a contract year, Kevin Martin is going to be huge this year. Regardless of whether he finishes the season with the Rockets, Martin is going to play his ass off to get a big paycheque next season. He has always been a great shooter with great percentages. His numbers will be very similar to that of Marcus Thornton. Plenty of 3’s, points, high percentages, and nothing else. However he has looked amazing in preseason and can always fill the score sheet.

What’s Left?

Everyone thought that Omer Asik was wildly overpaid this season. WIth the exact same contract as Lin (30 million over three years), people thought that this contract was ridiculous for someone who averaged 4 rebounds, 3 points, and shot less than 50% from the free throw line. However he is a hustler, and hustlers who are 7 feet tall tend to grab a couple rebounds. Although his field goal percentage hasn’t been amazing in the preseason expect his points to pick up with more playing time. Throughout the pre-season he has averaged 8 points, 11 rebounds, 75% free-throw, and 47% field goal. All while also getting just under a steal and a block per game.

Asik is definitely a solid late-round draft pick, but I wouldn’t be surprised if he went earlier than that.

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